Posts
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Fans Projections:
Hitters:
141
|
528
|
133
|
23
|
6
|
30
|
90
|
96
|
71
|
177
|
22
|
3
|
.252
|
.350
|
.489
|
.839
|
.367
|
-2.0
|
2.7
|
4.4
|
|
132
|
507
|
130
|
22
|
2
|
28
|
76
|
84
|
34
|
130
|
0
|
0
|
.256
|
.316
|
.473
|
.789
|
.344
|
-7.0
|
-0.5
|
2.1
|
|
135
|
476
|
111
|
24
|
2
|
23
|
71
|
77
|
76
|
166
|
4
|
2
|
.233
|
.338
|
.437
|
.775
|
.341
|
-5.0
|
-0.5
|
1.6
|
|
139
|
523
|
120
|
23
|
1
|
32
|
80
|
90
|
63
|
184
|
4
|
1
|
.229
|
.314
|
.461
|
.775
|
.339
|
-4.0
|
-0.1
|
1.4
|
|
156
|
661
|
203
|
37
|
5
|
8
|
93
|
61
|
39
|
69
|
45
|
11
|
.307
|
.346
|
.415
|
.761
|
.334
|
-6.0
|
4.1
|
3.9
|
|
124
|
467
|
115
|
24
|
3
|
21
|
61
|
65
|
35
|
146
|
4
|
1
|
.246
|
.302
|
.445
|
.747
|
.327
|
-1.0
|
0.0
|
2.2
|
|
121
|
438
|
109
|
26
|
1
|
12
|
52
|
57
|
59
|
96
|
3
|
2
|
.249
|
.339
|
.395
|
.734
|
.327
|
1.0
|
-0.6
|
2.6
|
|
99
|
345
|
87
|
17
|
2
|
8
|
40
|
44
|
46
|
91
|
10
|
4
|
.252
|
.343
|
.383
|
.726
|
.326
|
0.0
|
0.1
|
1.4
|
|
117
|
433
|
109
|
22
|
2
|
14
|
51
|
55
|
43
|
129
|
2
|
1
|
.252
|
.322
|
.409
|
.731
|
.323
|
0.0
|
-0.4
|
3.1
|
|
84
|
302
|
77
|
16
|
1
|
9
|
35
|
38
|
25
|
73
|
5
|
3
|
.255
|
.316
|
.404
|
.720
|
.318
|
-2.0
|
-0.4
|
1.8
|
|
140
|
519
|
135
|
29
|
2
|
11
|
54
|
59
|
52
|
89
|
3
|
1
|
.260
|
.328
|
.387
|
.715
|
.317
|
-1.0
|
-0.3
|
2.7
|
|
69
|
248
|
65
|
8
|
3
|
4
|
26
|
25
|
14
|
49
|
4
|
1
|
.262
|
.306
|
.367
|
.673
|
.300
|
-1.0
|
0.2
|
0.3
|
|
110
|
389
|
97
|
13
|
3
|
8
|
41
|
41
|
20
|
99
|
17
|
4
|
.249
|
.304
|
.360
|
.663
|
.296
|
9.0
|
1.5
|
1.9
|
|
135
|
505
|
121
|
20
|
1
|
16
|
49
|
53
|
24
|
104
|
0
|
0
|
.240
|
.278
|
.378
|
.656
|
.289
|
-2.0
|
-0.4
|
0.8
|
|
82
|
277
|
63
|
11
|
3
|
6
|
31
|
28
|
22
|
81
|
16
|
3
|
.227
|
.287
|
.354
|
.641
|
.286
|
-5.0
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
|
102
|
374
|
95
|
15
|
1
|
4
|
30
|
30
|
20
|
68
|
4
|
1
|
.254
|
.294
|
.332
|
.626
|
.279
|
-3.0
|
0.1
|
0.2
|
Pitchers:
3
|
3
|
3.75
|
0
|
55
|
3
|
52.0
|
41
|
22
|
5
|
62
|
18
|
1.13
|
10.73
|
3.12
|
3.15
|
0.6
|
|
2
|
4
|
3.46
|
0
|
61
|
8
|
57.0
|
55
|
22
|
5
|
45
|
12
|
1.18
|
7.11
|
1.89
|
3.38
|
0.4
|
|
12
|
9
|
3.36
|
29
|
29
|
0
|
179.0
|
163
|
67
|
20
|
173
|
50
|
1.19
|
8.70
|
2.51
|
3.57
|
2.8
|
|
13
|
9
|
3.53
|
31
|
31
|
0
|
203.0
|
200
|
80
|
18
|
158
|
56
|
1.26
|
7.00
|
2.48
|
3.64
|
2.8
|
|
9
|
10
|
3.90
|
27
|
27
|
0
|
159.0
|
167
|
69
|
17
|
113
|
34
|
1.26
|
6.40
|
1.92
|
3.80
|
2.1
|
|
10
|
10
|
3.96
|
29
|
29
|
0
|
172.0
|
171
|
76
|
17
|
119
|
52
|
1.30
|
6.23
|
2.72
|
4.03
|
1.7
|
|
7
|
8
|
4.42
|
21
|
21
|
0
|
114.0
|
107
|
56
|
16
|
108
|
50
|
1.38
|
8.53
|
3.95
|
4.51
|
0.7
|
530
|
118
|
23
|
1
|
32
|
76
|
83
|
67
|
192
|
4
|
2
|
.223
|
.314
|
.453
|
.767
|
116
|
9.5
|
-15.8
|
1.5
|
|
489
|
115
|
19
|
2
|
25
|
71
|
70
|
59
|
165
|
15
|
7
|
.234
|
.324
|
.439
|
.763
|
116
|
10.3
|
-8.4
|
2.2
|
|
614
|
184
|
37
|
2
|
9
|
83
|
62
|
37
|
61
|
35
|
15
|
.299
|
.341
|
.411
|
.752
|
113
|
10.5
|
-3.0
|
3.2
|
|
528
|
128
|
26
|
2
|
28
|
69
|
81
|
33
|
127
|
1
|
1
|
.243
|
.295
|
.459
|
.754
|
110
|
5.8
|
-13.1
|
1.2
|
|
512
|
132
|
30
|
2
|
12
|
64
|
59
|
49
|
86
|
1
|
1
|
.258
|
.326
|
.397
|
.722
|
105
|
2.1
|
-0.6
|
2.2
|
|
516
|
120
|
25
|
2
|
23
|
67
|
69
|
48
|
166
|
4
|
2
|
.232
|
.300
|
.422
|
.723
|
103
|
3.1
|
-3.1
|
2.0
|
|
321
|
75
|
16
|
2
|
10
|
42
|
37
|
42
|
72
|
2
|
2
|
.234
|
.324
|
.386
|
.710
|
102
|
0.7
|
1.5
|
1.6
|
|
226
|
48
|
9
|
1
|
10
|
31
|
29
|
34
|
76
|
2
|
1
|
.213
|
.317
|
.389
|
.706
|
101
|
0.3
|
-8.0
|
0.1
|
|
79
|
21
|
3
|
1
|
2
|
10
|
8
|
6
|
16
|
2
|
1
|
.260
|
.311
|
.392
|
.703
|
99
|
-0.1
|
-1.1
|
0.2
|
|
108
|
26
|
5
|
0
|
2
|
14
|
10
|
14
|
28
|
3
|
2
|
.237
|
.327
|
.350
|
.677
|
95
|
-0.8
|
-1.0
|
0.2
|
|
365
|
84
|
18
|
1
|
11
|
42
|
43
|
35
|
109
|
1
|
1
|
.230
|
.301
|
.376
|
.677
|
92
|
-4.0
|
6.1
|
1.7
|
|
53
|
12
|
2
|
0
|
2
|
6
|
6
|
5
|
18
|
1
|
0
|
.221
|
.295
|
.373
|
.668
|
90
|
-0.6
|
-0.8
|
0.1
|
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
.246
|
.316
|
.346
|
.662
|
90
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
189
|
43
|
9
|
0
|
5
|
21
|
21
|
17
|
46
|
1
|
1
|
.227
|
.295
|
.364
|
.659
|
86
|
-3.4
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
|
303
|
70
|
13
|
0
|
10
|
33
|
36
|
18
|
58
|
1
|
1
|
.230
|
.278
|
.378
|
.656
|
84
|
-6.6
|
-0.2
|
0.4
|
|
504
|
118
|
22
|
3
|
12
|
53
|
53
|
25
|
116
|
19
|
9
|
.234
|
.280
|
.360
|
.641
|
79
|
-11.9
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
|
50
|
11
|
2
|
0
|
1
|
6
|
5
|
5
|
14
|
3
|
1
|
.222
|
.289
|
.338
|
.627
|
78
|
-1.2
|
-0.3
|
0.0
|
|
108
|
26
|
5
|
0
|
2
|
11
|
10
|
6
|
20
|
2
|
1
|
.240
|
.284
|
.345
|
.629
|
77
|
-3.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
.247
|
.289
|
.333
|
.622
|
75
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
1
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
.216
|
.263
|
.346
|
.609
|
70
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
2
|
2
|
3.10
|
0
|
45
|
2
|
45.0
|
38
|
16
|
5
|
49
|
14
|
1.17
|
9.90
|
2.83
|
3.49
|
0.4
|
0.5
|
|
3
|
3
|
3.67
|
0
|
55
|
6
|
55.0
|
55
|
22
|
5
|
43
|
13
|
1.24
|
7.01
|
2.07
|
3.50
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
|
12
|
10
|
3.80
|
30
|
30
|
0
|
192.0
|
194
|
81
|
14
|
141
|
57
|
1.31
|
6.61
|
2.66
|
3.62
|
2.7
|
2.2
|
|
3
|
3
|
3.65
|
0
|
65
|
24
|
65.0
|
63
|
26
|
7
|
55
|
17
|
1.22
|
7.64
|
2.33
|
3.68
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
|
3
|
2
|
3.09
|
0
|
55
|
1
|
55.0
|
46
|
19
|
7
|
61
|
19
|
1.19
|
10.02
|
3.16
|
3.69
|
0.3
|
0.7
|
|
2
|
2
|
3.73
|
0
|
35
|
0
|
35.0
|
32
|
14
|
4
|
33
|
12
|
1.27
|
8.58
|
3.11
|
3.87
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
|
12
|
11
|
4.03
|
31
|
31
|
0
|
192.0
|
184
|
86
|
23
|
169
|
58
|
1.26
|
7.93
|
2.71
|
3.96
|
2.1
|
1.8
|
|
3
|
3
|
3.45
|
0
|
65
|
4
|
65.0
|
61
|
25
|
9
|
60
|
16
|
1.18
|
8.27
|
2.16
|
3.97
|
0.2
|
0.5
|
|
2
|
2
|
4.14
|
0
|
40
|
0
|
40.0
|
44
|
18
|
4
|
23
|
8
|
1.31
|
5.26
|
1.82
|
4.01
|
0.0
|
-0.1
|
|
3
|
4
|
4.40
|
7
|
32
|
0
|
63.0
|
64
|
31
|
5
|
50
|
27
|
1.43
|
7.03
|
3.80
|
4.10
|
0.0
|
-0.3
|
|
1
|
2
|
4.22
|
0
|
30
|
0
|
30.0
|
27
|
14
|
3
|
29
|
16
|
1.44
|
8.56
|
4.75
|
4.27
|
-0.1
|
-0.1
|
|
0
|
0
|
4.53
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1.0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1.41
|
8.01
|
4.03
|
4.45
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
1
|
1
|
4.68
|
2
|
17
|
0
|
25.0
|
25
|
13
|
3
|
18
|
10
|
1.44
|
6.59
|
3.63
|
4.46
|
-0.1
|
-0.2
|
|
9
|
12
|
4.85
|
29
|
29
|
0
|
173.0
|
189
|
93
|
21
|
109
|
50
|
1.39
|
5.66
|
2.62
|
4.49
|
0.8
|
0.0
|
|
9
|
11
|
4.61
|
29
|
29
|
0
|
163.0
|
177
|
84
|
25
|
109
|
41
|
1.34
|
6.02
|
2.29
|
4.64
|
0.6
|
0.5
|
|
7
|
8
|
4.72
|
20
|
30
|
0
|
125.0
|
124
|
66
|
18
|
106
|
55
|
1.43
|
7.63
|
3.98
|
4.75
|
0.0
|
-0.2
|
|
0
|
0
|
4.85
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1.0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1.46
|
6.48
|
3.74
|
4.80
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
0
|
0
|
5.05
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1.0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1.45
|
5.99
|
3.28
|
4.89
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
|
4
|
4
|
4.65
|
12
|
12
|
0
|
67.0
|
67
|
35
|
11
|
55
|
27
|
1.41
|
7.36
|
3.65
|
4.90
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
|
0
|
0
|
5.44
|
0
|
0
|
0
|
1.0
|
1
|
1
|
0
|
1
|
0
|
1.55
|
5.67
|
4.02
|
5.25
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
After the overhaul this offseason, this is the first time in several years that the Astros faithful can say with utmost sincerity that they are indeed looking forward to the start of the season. The acquisitions of Evan Gattis, Hank Conger, and Luis Valbuena are sure to bolster the lineup in certain areas of dire need, and the signings of Luke Gregerson, Pat Neshek, Jed Lowrie, Colby Rasmus, and Joe Thatcher have changed the landscape of the Astros roster for the greater good of the health of those who root for the good guys. Although some cringed, myself included, parting ways with the upside of Mike Foltynewicz, Rio Ruiz, and Nick Tropeano, as well as the on-base ability at the top of the order in Dexter Fowler, this offseason, the additions of Evan Gattis, and Luis Valbuena make the opening day roster considerably more attractive than that of years past and moves the Astros closer to relevancy and contention. Dan Straily is also worth noting as an important piece in the Fowler deal with the Cubs. Straily has posted solid campaigns with the A's in the recent past, and given his minor league track record ability of missing bats and compiling a high K rate, it will be interesting to see what the wizard Brent Strom can do with the righty. I try to reel in my homer-ism from time to time, but I feel Strom is one of the best in the business, all Houston Bias aside and Straily could be in line to be this years Collin McHugh. I consider the Steamer projections too harsh, and the Fans projections too optimistic. If all goes swimmingly for the men in Navy and orange, I would expect 80 wins. The bullpen is greatly improved with the additions of Gregerson and Neshek, and the incumbents including Chad Qualls, Josh Fields, and Tony Sipp round out what should be the most reliable 'pen the right field bleachers have seen in a very long time. The Will Harris waiver claim should receive praise as well as Harris has a small, but successful track record and is projected to post respectable numbers wearing Astros navy and orange. The offense receives a shot in the arm with the attractive addition of El Oso Blanco, as he should do some remodeling of the arches in left. The addition of Luis Valbuena adds an on base tool, with a walk rate consistently over 11%, at third base that was so desperately needed, and he provides serviceable to above average, valuable defense. Colby Rasmus provides a veteran presence with considerable pop in the outfield. Although his offensive value has been closely linked to his high BABIP over the course of his career, his power tool has remained constant with an ISO of over.220 the last two years. The return of Jed Lowrie provides a welcome improvement at short. Although Jonathon Villar remains a tool shed, the return of the JEDi is needed in order for the Astros to take the next step as Villar can season in AAA Fresno(that's weird to type), and re-establish value. Even after a down offensive campaign, Jed posted positive metrics thanks to his above average play with the glove. At his best he flirts with 4 wins above replacement at the shortstop position, a rare commodity, and the friendly confines of Minute Maid should do better for his offensive numbers than O.Co did. There are also a couple guys returning you may have heard of in Chris Carter, Jason Castro, Jose Altuve, George Springer, Jake Marisnick, and Jon Singleton. Although his second half tear cannot be expected again this season, Chris Carter should remain a valuable commodity with one of the highest right handed power tools in the game. Jason Castro should improve on his poor 2014, and provide the Astros with a top 10 ML catcher in my opinion. Jose Altuve may not hit an outrageous .341, but he will still do Jose Altuve things. 'Tuve gonna 'Tuve. That George Springer guy should do alright I suppose. He's okay from what the kids say. Jake Marisnick will provide elite defense if AJ Hinch can manage to slot him in the order, and Jon Singleton will be an interesting one to watch this year as the first baseman of the future will have to adjust to major league pitching during his sophomore campaign. Flirting with .500 is a huge step from 111 losses only two campaigns removed, but very doable given the rosters additions. Below I'll post my rough projections on some very basic numbers...
Houston Bias Projections:
Hitters:
600
|
34
|
3
|
.231
|
.322
|
.480
| |
600
|
38
|
19
|
.247
|
.340
|
.470
| |
600
|
9
|
43
|
.304
|
.348
|
.423
| |
600
|
33
|
0
|
.251
|
.307
|
.497
| |
600
|
11
|
2
|
.255
|
.330
|
.415
| |
600
|
26
|
6
|
.232
|
.296
|
.422
| |
600
|
19
|
1
|
.245
|
.336
|
.417
| |
600
|
27
|
4
|
.223
|
.315
|
.401
| |
600
|
12
|
17
|
.240
|
.283
|
.365
| |
600
|
10
|
16
|
.241
|
.337
|
.358
| |
450
|
15
|
2
|
.248
|
.321
|
.400
| |
600
|
18
|
9
|
.208
|
.275
|
.363
| |
600
|
6
|
14
|
.255
|
.319
|
.354
| |
450
|
9
|
2
|
.235
|
.285
|
.364
| |
600
|
18
|
1
|
.230
|
.278
|
.378
| |
600
|
15
|
26
|
.241
|
.287
|
.360
| |
600
|
14
|
40
|
.222
|
.289
|
.338
| |
600
|
9
|
8
|
.250
|
.280
|
.345
|
Pitchers:
4
|
3
|
3.65
|
65.0
| |
3
|
3
|
3.42
|
65.0
| |
15
|
8
|
3.50
|
200.0
| |
3
|
3
|
2.97
|
65.0
| |
4
|
3
|
3.65
|
65.0
| |
3
|
3
|
3.63
|
65.0
| |
14
|
10
|
3.76
|
200.0
| |
3
|
3
|
3.27
|
65.0
| |
3
|
3
|
4.14
|
65.0
| |
3
|
4
|
4.40
|
65.0
| |
3
|
3
|
4.47
|
65.0
| |
3
|
4
|
4.68
|
65.0
| |
13
|
12
|
4.10
|
200.0
| |
12
|
13
|
3.89
|
200.0
| |
7
|
14
|
4.52
|
200.0
| |
6
|
10
|
4.86
|
200.0
| |
9
|
13
|
4.25
|
200.0
|
With Spring training just around the corner the national pastime is on the horizon. Tell us what you think of the Astros prospects going into the 2015 campaign.
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